{
    "created": "2023-02-22 11:19:43",
    "updated": "2026-06-23 00:15:49",
    "id": "878e0bbe-5709-48c0-9faa-8cee626f8572",
    "version": 0,
    "ds_topic": null,
    "title_cn": "祁连山国家公园未来人类活动模拟情景（2050年）",
    "title_en": "Simulation scenario of future human activities in Qilian Mountain National Park (2050)",
    "ds_abstract": "<p>&emsp;&emsp;该数据包含了2050年未来合理的人类活动（放牧、旅游、造林）分布情景。",
    "ds_source": "<p>&emsp;&emsp;数据生产中涉及初始数据源于2050年草地情景模拟结果（GeoSOS-FLUS模型预测）、人工造林的潜在分布范围数据（Maxent模型模拟）、旅游空间分布数据（统计资料）。",
    "ds_process_way": "<p>&emsp;&emsp;针对放牧、旅游、造林活动，通过对其强度与相应净影响的理论关系解析（使其净影响达到最小化），确定未来人类活动情景。",
    "ds_quality": "<p>&emsp;&emsp;1.模型构建过程完全按照数据驱动模型标准构建方案进行，方法规范，并且采用交叉验证方法对模型稳健性、鲁棒性进行了充分的验证；3.模型模拟结果经过了观测数据验证及质量控制。",
    "ds_acq_start_time": "2050-01-01 00:00:00",
    "ds_acq_end_time": "2050-12-31 00:00:00",
    "ds_acq_place": "祁连山国家公园",
    "ds_acq_lon_east": 103.44111111111111,
    "ds_acq_lat_south": 36.755833333333335,
    "ds_acq_lon_west": 95.2538888888889,
    "ds_acq_lat_north": 39.74611111111111,
    "ds_acq_alt_low": null,
    "ds_acq_alt_high": null,
    "ds_share_type": "apply-access",
    "ds_total_size": 2641651,
    "ds_files_count": 2,
    "ds_format": "NC4",
    "ds_space_res": "1km",
    "ds_time_res": "年",
    "ds_coordinate": "无",
    "ds_projection": "",
    "ds_thumbnail": "878e0bbe-5709-48c0-9faa-8cee626f8572.png",
    "ds_thumb_from": 0,
    "ds_ref_way": "杜军，祁连山国家公园未来人类活动模拟情景（2050年），国家冰川冻土沙漠科学数据中心(www.ncdc.ac.cn)，2023，doi：10.12072/ncdc.nieer.db2742.2023",
    "paper_ref_way": "",
    "ds_ref_instruction": "",
    "ds_from_station": null,
    "organization_id": "52109486-75ef-4764-a933-6380c6f42432",
    "ds_serv_man": "敏玉芳",
    "ds_serv_phone": "0931-4967596",
    "ds_serv_mail": "ncdc@lzb.ac.cn",
    "doi_value": "10.12072/ncdc.nieer.db2742.2023",
    "subject_codes": [
        "170.45"
    ],
    "quality_level": 0,
    "publish_time": "2023-02-28 15:55:50",
    "last_updated": "2023-03-01 11:31:28",
    "protected": false,
    "protected_to": "2025-01-01 00:00:00",
    "lang": "zh",
    "cstr": "11738.11.ncdc.nieer.db2742.2023",
    "i18n": {
        "en": {
            "title": "Simulation scenario of future human activities in Qilian Mountain National Park (2050)",
            "ds_format": "",
            "ds_source": "<p>&emsp;The initial data involved in the data production are from the 2050 grassland scenario simulation results (GeoSOS-FLUS model prediction), the potential distribution range data of artificial afforestation (Maxent model simulation), and the tourism spatial distribution data (statistical data).",
            "ds_quality": "<p>&emsp; 1. The model construction process is completely carried out in accordance with the standard construction scheme of data-driven model, and the method is normative, and the robustness and robustness of the model are fully verified by the cross-validation method; 3. The model simulation results have been verified by observation data and quality control.",
            "ds_ref_way": "",
            "ds_abstract": "<p>  This data includes reasonable distribution scenarios of human activities (grazing, tourism, afforestation) in the future in 2050.</p>",
            "ds_time_res": "年",
            "ds_acq_place": "Qilian Mountain National Park",
            "ds_space_res": "1km",
            "ds_projection": "",
            "ds_process_way": "<p>&emsp; For grazing, tourism and afforestation activities, the future human activity scenarios are determined by analyzing the theoretical relationship between their intensity and corresponding net impact (to minimize their net impact).",
            "ds_ref_instruction": ""
        }
    },
    "submit_center_id": "ncdc",
    "data_level": 0,
    "recommendation_value": 0,
    "license_type": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "doi_reg_from": "reg_local",
    "cstr_reg_from": "reg_local",
    "doi_not_reg_reason": null,
    "cstr_not_reg_reason": null,
    "is_paper_in_submitting": false,
    "belong_to_nieer": false,
    "ds_topic_tags": [
        "造林",
        "放牧",
        "旅游",
        "祁连山",
        "合理情景"
    ],
    "ds_subject_tags": [
        "地理学"
    ],
    "ds_class_tags": [],
    "ds_locus_tags": [
        "祁连山国家公园"
    ],
    "ds_time_tags": [
        2050
    ],
    "ds_contributors": [
        {
            "true_name": "杜军",
            "email": "dujun2012@lzb.ac.cn",
            "work_for": "中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院",
            "country": "中国"
        }
    ],
    "ds_meta_authors": [
        {
            "true_name": "杜军",
            "email": "dujun2012@lzb.ac.cn",
            "work_for": "中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院",
            "country": "中国"
        }
    ],
    "ds_managers": [
        {
            "true_name": "杜军",
            "email": "dujun2012@lzb.ac.cn",
            "work_for": "中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院",
            "country": "中国"
        }
    ],
    "category": "基础地理"
}